The Warren County trash contract

In an even more exciting drama than the school board confrontation, the Board voted to approve the contract with Warren County to bring Warren’s trash to the Battlecreek Landfill.  The approval was subject to an amended line item that said the trash had to be “generated in Warren County”.  The Warren County Board now has to decide if it will agree to that amendment.  Charlie Hoke added the amendment, in response to a concern that Warren County might sell their excess capacity to someone else, and make money off of it while Page bears the risk.

Here’s the gist of it:  Warren County will pay Page County $31 a ton to bring “up to” 225 tons of trash per day to Battlecreek.  The contract lasts for 15 years and it escalates at a rate of 25 cents per ton per year.  The landfill is approved for 350 tons a day, and Page County generates a lot less than 100 tons of trash per day, so if we reserved 125 tons for ourselves and our growth, this would effectively  use up all available capacity, if Warren used its limit of 225 tons. 

Warren County only uses about 110 tons per day now, so the excess capacity granted to them is presumed to allow for potential growth in Warren County over 15 years.  Apparently, no growth is expected in Page County that would take us over 125 tons per day, so using up all our capacity in this way is logical management.  There would then be no available capacity to sell to anyone else for the next 15 years. 

Here is the logical argument of it: 

1.   The landfill costs our citizens $1.2M in operating costs, plus the $600K + for 40 years to pay off the buyback loan, plus the money we borrow now and then to buy capital equipment and close and open cells (another $700K every few years, more or less).  For the last two years, we’ve been desperately changing our budgets to cover that very serious amount of money.

2.  If Warren County will bring their trash in at their normal rate of 110 tons a day, that would almost cover our annual operating costs of $1.2M.   If Warren County grows and brings in more trash than normal, the revenue could almost cover the costs to Page County.  If this could be secured for 15 years, it would be a great service to the county and solve many, many of our budget problems.

3.  It would be nice if we could get more than $31 a ton, but we’ve been trying to negotiate this contract for three years, and this is the best we think we can do.  If it works, then the Board of Supervisors will have solved the landfill problem for Page.  This would be a great legacy for the Board. 

Now, once this contract is approved by both Boards (Warren and Page), then Page has turned over all its excess landfill capacity to Warren.  If a recycling company moved into Warren County, and wanted to send its trash to the Page County landfill, it could, because that would be trash generated in Warren County, and there is excess capacity on the Warren County contract.  So the upside of this contract is:  if all goes well, and bringing in this extra trash does not increase our costs to operate the landfill, then the contract will relieve Page County citizens of a $1.2M burden.  This would still leave us with the debt and the capital equipment and the opening and closing cells costs, but at least it would cover the operating costs.

Supervisor  Gerald Cubbage asked that the approval of the contract be delayed until we could hold three town meetings and inform the citizens about what was happening, the benefits and risks.  Chairman LaFrance said that wasn’t the subject they were talking about.  They were talking about the amendment Mr. Hoke added, to change the language to say, “only trash generated in Warren County”.  There was concern on the part of Mr. Belton that to change the language would delay the contract approval in Warren County, and delay the start of the contract, and take a further $100K plus out of our planned budget.  The contract was supposed to start this coming Monday, and if it weren’t approved “as is”, that would delay the start for another month or two. 

Mr. Cubbage pointed out that the cost of diesel fuel is a major cost of the landfill operation.  He pointed out that the cost of excavating a cell is going to triple, and the only escalator in the contract is 25 cents a ton per year for fifteen years.  He pointed out that signing a contract for 15 years without considering escalating costs is a major risk to the Page County citizens, one which could end up causing Page citizens to subsidize the trash of Warren County citizens.  He asked a second time to delay the contract until citizen meetings could be held.

Then they voted to amend the language in the contract to include the words “Warren County’s daily generated trash”, so that Warren couldn’t sell the excess capacity to a commercial operation.  Hopefully.  Unless, of course,  a commercial operation were to  just LOCATE in Warren County and use the excess capacity.    After all, if it’s a good rate, and it becomes even better due to rising fuel costs, why wouldn’t they?

Gerald Cubbage made one more shot at it.  He said, “since we’ve just voted to amend the contract, and that will mean we have some time before Warren County can finally approve it, can we hold the citizen informational meetings while we’re waiting?”

 But apparently they couldn’t.   

Gerald pointed out that numbers we’ve used for costs to breakeven were $35/day and we were selling for $31/day, with no adjustable escalation for a very long term, so why were we selling our capacity below cost, and Mark Belton, our County Administrator and the negotiator of the contract answered, “Bird in Hand.  It’s all we could get.”

They then voted to accept the contract, provided Warren County will agree to the amended word change that says “trash generated in Warren County”.  Mr. Cubbage voted against the motion to accept the contract, and all others voted for it.

Why this looks like History

The Battlecreek Landfill was indeed a major debacle, and a severe damage to the citizens of Page County, in the past.  Every property owner in Page County pays about $250 in their property taxes to cover this, every year (counting the retirement of the $14M debt, the capital equipment, and the operating expenses.)

But the Board of Supervisors who generated this debacle, did  not intend to harm the citizens or to do anything corrupt.  They were well meaning citizen-legislators, attempting to come up with a way to pay for the schools, by starting a business.  That’s all they intended to do.    (See “The History of the Landfill” on the site at http://www.PageCountyWatch.org  )

Gerald Cubbage was on the Board when all of that happened.

Throughout the decision-making, Gerald consistently, as reflected in the minutes of the meetings, brought up the objections, asked for citizen informational meetings, and voted against the actions.  But he was ignored.

Just like last night. 

The minutes of last night’s meeting will read very much like the  minutes of the meetings when the landfill got to be what the landfill got to be.  Our Board of Supervisors are well intentioned.  They truly want to do good.  They expect this contract to help us.  They see it as a good financial decision. 

The  Board that got us into the contract with Tellurian felt the same way, if you read the Board minutes. 

What’s different?  Only that the Board has direct management over the landfill, as opposed to contracting it out.  The other elements:  selling our capacity to someone else for a long term at a price potentially below cost with no recourse – that’s the same.

Can it turn out that this contract is really good and helps us solve the problem?  It might.  It could be true that the economies of scale will kick in, and the costs won’t increase over fifteen years, at least not to the point of causing Page to subsidize Warren. 

But are we really sure we know what we are doing well enough to take that risk?

I can understand why Mr. Cubbage’s request to hold citizen informational meetings was ignored.  The answer “Bird in Hand” would not go over well in that forum.

Mr. Cave pointed out that the landfill is managed by a Board of Directors, and that Board is the county supervisors.  I don’t know a lot of commercial boards that would have proceeded with an action this risky on the basis of a Bird in Hand.